Tree was correct:
Goodell Supportive of Overtime Modification - NYTimes.com http://nyti.ms/9GB8rT---
Statistics examined by the committee showed that since 1994, teams winning the coin toss win the game 59.8 percent of the time. The team that loses the toss wins the game 38.5 percent in that 15-year span, or since kickoffs were moved back 5 yards to the 30.