It's not so much that we're regressing I feel, as much as it's injuries and bad luck.
We won our first game on a missed FG. Last year, we lost the Commanders game on a missed FG.
We beat the Panthers largely because Baker Mayfield couldn't hit the broad side of a barn... not because we played well. There was also a kickoff fumble and a fumble at Carolina's 40.
We beat the Ravens on a really dumb final series by Lamar Jackson. Last year's team loses that game.
Just those three games alone would make us a 4-6 team, which I feel is a more accurate view of the talent level we've got. Throw literal third-stringers in at vital positions like RT, LG, WR, CB, and Safety and it's not hard to see why the team doesn't look as good.